“Global warming” versus “climate change”: A replication on the association between political self-identification,question wording,and environmental beliefs     

Alistair Raymond Bryce Soutter  René Mõttus 《Chemie der Erde / Geochemistry》2011

Climate change is one of the greatest threats to humanity and requires immediate action. Schuldt, Konrath, and Schwarz (2011) suggested that beliefs in environmental phenomena can be influenced by the terminology used to describe it: changing question wording from global warming to climate change resulted in a 6.3 percentage point increase in belief in environmental phenomena. This association was moderated by political self-identification, with Republicans being 16.2 percentage points more likely to believe in climate change than in global warming, with Democrats showing no difference. The potential for connotative meanings to shift over time and the sociopolitical changes since the original study, potential policy and environmental campaign implications, and an expansion of these findings to other countries, motivated an attempt to replicate this important finding. This pre-registered study repeated the original procedures in the United States of America and two other countries (United Kingdom and Australia; total N = 5,717). Although question wording no longer had a significant effect on beliefs in climate change/global warming, the association of political self-identification with beliefs in environmental phenomena replicated in all three countries, with Conservatives consistently believing less in climate change/global warming than Liberals. The potential impacts of temporal and methodological differences on the discrepancies between this study's and the original's findings are discussed.  相似文献   

渐进式扩张海盆亚丁湾与南海西南次海盆扩张演化特征的对比   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

张洁  李家彪  李细兵  吴振利 《地球物理学报》2011,54(12):3079-3088

本文总结了渐进式扩张洋中脊和渐进式演化海盆的全球空间分布,并将西南次海盆与典型渐进式演化的亚丁湾加以比对,通过对海盆扩张中心的起源、扩张中心分段特征、火山活动、磁异常特征等的比较,为西南次海盆的演化提供新观点,为南海的演化观点寻找新证据.西南次海盆为渐进式扩张的海盆,与东部次海盆属于同一期扩张形成,海盆的渐进式扩张与渐进式扩张的方向很有可能受到地幔热柱(印支地幔柱、南海中部低速柱或海南地幔柱)的控制.南海的扩张演化模式并不是单一的,而是多种模式的综合,在考虑海底演化模式时应该同时考虑地幔柱的影响.  相似文献   

Spatial sensitivity of seismic hazard results to different background seismic activity and temporal earthquake occurrence models     

Nazan Yilmaz  M. Semih Yucemen 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2011

Spatial sensitivity of seismic hazard results to different models with respect to background seismic activity and earthquake occurrence in time is investigated. For the contribution of background seismic activity to seismic hazard, background area source with uniform seismicity and spatially smoothed seismicity models are taken into consideration. For the contribution of faults, through characteristic earthquakes, both the memoryless Poisson and the time dependent renewal models are utilized. A case study, involving the assessment of seismic hazard for the Bursa province in Turkey, is conducted in order to examine quantitatively the influence of these models on seismic hazard results. The spatial variation of the difference in Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) values obtained from these different models is presented in the form of difference maps for return periods of 475 and 2475 years. Best estimate seismic hazard maps for PGA and Spectral Accelerations (SA) at 0.2 and 1.0 s are obtained by using the logic tree method.  相似文献   

青藏高原北部地区地震基本活动状态定量评价   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

刘小凤  梅秀苹  冯建刚  程建武  张辉 《地震工程学报》2011,33(2):130-136

基于区域构造背景、应力场状态及动力学环境等,将青藏高原北部地区划分为4个相对独立的统计单元,即祁连山地震带、甘东南地区、柴达木一共和地块及库玛地震带.通过地震频度和b值拟合确定了各个地区不同下限震级的地震目录完整性起始时间;确定了各构造单元中强以上地震活跃与平静交替活动的特征;定量计算了在平均状态中强以上地震活动特征参数及平静阶段与活跃阶段地震活动特征参数;分别获得了各个区域在平均、活跃与平静状态下的小震活动状态参数.  相似文献   

青海地区各地震带强震活动基本状态探讨     

马玉虎  王培玲  刘文邦 《高原地震》2011,23(4):4-9

利用青海地区1900年以来5级以上强震目录探讨了省内各地震带地震活动的基本状态,结合累积应变能释放现象讨论了各地震带现今地震活动所处的状态。结果显示,青海地区4个地震带强震活动存在明显的平静与活跃的交替特征,这是普遍的宏观规律,但平静与活跃的特点具有差异性。伴随各地震带地震活动状态的不同,其累积应变能释放呈现加速或减速的特征。  相似文献   

Monitoring global land surface drought based on a hybrid evapotranspiration model     

Yunjun Yao  Shunlin Liang  Qiming Qin  Kaicun Wang  Shaohua Zhao 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2011

The latent heat of evapotranspiration (ET) plays an important role in the assessment of drought severity as one sensitive indicator of land drought status. A simple and accurate method of estimating global ET for the monitoring of global land surface droughts from remote sensing data is essential. The objective of this research is to develop a hybrid ET model by introducing empirical coefficients based on a simple linear two-source land ET model, and to then use this model to calculate the Evaporative Drought Index (EDI) based on the actual estimated ET and the potential ET in order to characterize global surface drought conditions. This is done using the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) Surface Radiation Budget (SRB) products, AVHRR-NDVI products from the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) group, and National Centers for Environmental Prediction Reanalysis-2 (NCEP-2) datasets. We randomly divided 22 flux towers into two groups and performed a series of cross-validations using ground measurements collected from the corresponding flux towers. The validation results from the second group of flux towers using the data from the first group for calibration show that the daily bias varies from −6.72 W/m² to 12.95 W/m² and the average monthly bias is −1.73 W/m². Similarly, the validation results of the first group of flux towers using data from second group for calibration show that the daily bias varies from −12.91 W/m² to 10.26 W/m² and the average monthly bias is −3.59 W/m². To evaluate the reliability of the hybrid ET model on a global scale, we compared the estimated ET from the GEWEX, AVHRR-GIMMS-NDVI, and NECP-2 datasets with the latent heat flux from the Global Soil Wetness Project-2 (GSWP-2) datasets. We found both of them to be in good agreement, which further supports the validity of our model's global ET estimation. Significantly, the patterns of monthly EDI anomalies have a good spatial and temporal correlation with the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) anomalies from January 1984 to December 2002, which indicates that the method can be used to accurately monitor long-term global land surface drought.  相似文献   

应用WS/GPS技术的粪渣收运监控系统的开发     

钟波 《地理空间信息》2011,(6):45-46,54

通过安装于粪渣收运车辆上的车载称重系统（WS）和全球卫星定位系统（GPS）,经由通用无线分组业务（GPRS）将粪渣收运车载重变化及其位置信息,实时传回监控中心的数据库中[1],并通过集成地理信息系统（GIS）的粪渣收运监控系统浏览、查询、管理粪渣收运情况。主要以车载重量变化信息作为收运监控参考的重要依据,并配合车辆定位...  相似文献   

新型地籍测绘模式初探     

韩军生  顾和和 《测绘与空间地理信息》2011,(6):261-263

地籍测量的特殊性要求其测绘精度高,速度快。从我国政策和现状来看,当前快速的经济建设要求更高效的地籍变更测量模式。然而目前在地籍测量方面最常用的测量模式效率低下,精度损失严重,不能有效反映土地现状,无法为经济建设提供可靠依据。鉴于GPS/INS新型测量模式的独特优势,提出将GPS/INS应用于地籍测量领域。初步设计了GPS/INS进行地籍测量的思路,并结合GPS和INS的优缺点,提出了注意事项。考虑到研究现状,指出了这一设想实现需解决的关键技术。  相似文献   

2009年中国东北夏季低温及其与前期海气系统变化的联系   总被引：6，自引：2，他引：4  

沈柏竹  刘实  廉毅  封国林  李尚锋  龚志强 《气象学报》2011,69(2):320-333

依据中国东北地区拥有百年地面观测记录的长春和哈尔滨测站气温资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和英国哈得来中心海表温度资料,揭示2009年东北地区发生的迄今已有15年没有出现的夏季低温事件成因.结果表明:发生东北夏季低温时的水平和垂直环流结构均为低值系统,东北冷涡异常活动是其最直接的影响因子;有利的年代际变化背景是,哈尔滨和长春6-8月平均气温年代际尺度(≥9 a)的振荡值1999-2008年约-O.8℃/10 a,显著低于全球变暖东北区域响应的线性增暖值0.2℃/10 a(1961-2000年),与长春和哈尔滨夏季气温呈正相关的前一年冬季太平洋极涡面积指数年代际振荡亦呈显著下降趋势.与1994-2008年东北夏季高温的500 hPa平均环流距平场显著不同,北极涛动呈强的负位相分布,东北亚、阿留申和北大西洋上空为显著负距平区;2009年前一年冬季与明显低温的1972年的前一年冬季北太平洋涛动均呈显著的负位相,春季仍持续,且2009年前一年冬季赤道中东太平洋SSTA为拉尼娜位相,2009年春季明显减弱;2009年6-7月夏季东北冷涡活动异常强与4-5月500 hPa北太平洋地区超长波扰动转为定常波扰动槽有关;SVD和谐波分析表明,北太平洋涛动的异常位相不仅是东北夏季气温变化的重要前期信号,还是大气中除了天气尺度的混沌分量外可提取的一种行星尺度稳定分量.  相似文献   

Are we adapting to climate change?     

Lea Berrang-Ford  James D. Ford  Jaclyn Paterson   《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(1):25-33

Human systems will have to adapt to climate change. Understanding of the magnitude of the adaptation challenge at a global scale, however, is incomplete, constrained by a limited understanding of if and how adaptation is taking place. Here we develop and apply a methodology to track and characterize adaptation action; we apply these methods to the peer-reviewed, English-language literature. Our results challenge a number of common assumptions about adaptation while supporting others: (1) Considerable research on adaptation has been conducted yet the majority of studies report on vulnerability assessments and natural systems (or intentions to act), not adaptation actions. (2) Climate change is rarely the sole or primary motivator for adaptation action. (3) Extreme events are important adaptation stimuli across regions. (4) Proactive adaptation is the most commonly reported adaptive response, particularly in developed nations. (5) Adaptation action is more frequently reported in developed nations, with middle income countries underrepresented and low-income regions dominated by reports from a small number of countries. (6) There is limited reporting on adaptations being developed to take advantage of climate change or focusing on women, elderly, or children.  相似文献